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Israeli Public Opinion & Alternatives to Negotiations  

June 2003 -- The Jewish Peace Lobby, in a poll conducted with the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research at Tel-Aviv University, found that 65% of Israeli Jews support or very much support an active American effort to formualte detailed peace agreements, not just for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but for the conflict with Syria and Lebanon as well.  They want the United States to then recruit international support in an effort to convince the parties to accept these agreements.  Only 28% of Israeli Jews opposed this approach.

Similar results were found on the same issue in a poll conducted in September 2002.  67% of Israeli Jews supported the United States formulating detailed peace agreements for the Middle East.  Only 28% of Israeli Jews opposed such an American approach.  Through further statistical analysis, it was revealed that among those questioned who identified themselves as Sharon voters in the 2001 Israeli elections, 59% supported the approach described above.  Among Barak supporters, that support climbs to 80.6%.

The following data is from research conducted in June 2002:

A recent poll conducted by the Steinmetz Center of Tel Aviv University, in conjunction with The Jewish Peace Lobby, investigated the degree of support among Israeli Jews for various non-conventional ways of reaching an agreement with the Palestinians. These included three alternatives: 

            1.  The United States would impose a solution (or partial solution) on both Israelis and Palestinians.

             2. Both sides would agree to binding arbitration of the final territorial line by  the United States.

             3.  All of Gaza and most of the West Bank would be turned over to a new mandatory power.

With respect to all three approaches it was found that there was significant support among Israeli Jews.

Imposing a solution: 44.2% vs. 47.9%

Two questions were asked. The first involved imposing a comprehensive solution including the division of Jerusalem and Israel absorbing up to 100,000 refugees. Among Israeli Jews only 28.5% favored the United States “exerting pressure through all means” so that both sides would agree. 

The second question, restricted U.S. imposition to a territorial line in which 95% of the West Bank, and all of the Gaza Strip would become the Palestinian state, and the remaining 5% including 80% of the settlers would be annexed to Israel.

This question was asked of the 71.5% who answered the first question negatively or “don’t know” – of these 22% favored imposition of an international boundary. This added another 15.7% of Israeli Jews to the 28.5% that favored a more comprehensive imposed plan. Thus, in total 44.2% of Israeli Jews support the idea that the United States would impose either a partial or comprehensive solution on both sides. In contrast some 47.9% of Jews opposed imposition, whether partial or comprehensive.

Binding Arbitration: 43.2% vs. 48%

Respondents were asked whether they supported binding arbitration of a final territorial line that would allow at least ¾ of the settlers to live in areas annexed to Israel, but would provide the Palestinians with a contiguous state. 43.2% of Israeli Jews supported the idea, while 48% opposed it.

New Mandate: 46.7% vs. 44.1% 

Respondents were asked if they favored Israel turning over all of the Gaza Strip and most of the West Bank to an outside power such as the United States, retaining only the densely populated settlements along the Green Line. The mandatory power would have the responsibility of maintaining order and overseeing the establishment of a democratic Palestinian government. The mandate would remain in effect until the mandatory power judged that there was a Palestinian government in place that was prepared to live in peace with Israel and was capable of meeting its security commitments.

46.7% of Israeli Jews supported this idea. It was opposed by 44.1%.

Summary: All three approaches were asked with respect to similar territorial arrangements. There was virtually no difference between overall response to imposing a line vs. going to binding arbitration of the final line. In both cases roughly 44% supported the idea and 48% opposed it. With respect to a new mandate within the same area, these percentages were reversed, with roughly 47% supporting it, and 44% opposing it. All of these ideas are relatively new to public discourse, and the general openness of the public is striking.


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